American Public Valuation

APEI Stock  USD 44.63  0.33  0.74%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. American Public Education shows a prevailing Real Value of $47.27 per share. The current price of the firm is $44.63. Our model approximates the value of American Public Education from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.11, and Profit Margin of 0.05 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting American Public's valuation include:
Price Book
2.8875
Enterprise Value
781.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.7709
Price Sales
1.2238
Forward PE
19.8413
Undervalued
Today
44.63
Please note that American Public's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of American Public Education is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing American Public's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since American Public is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of American Stock. However, American Public's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  44.63 Real  47.27 Target  45.33 Hype  44.15
The intrinsic value of American Public's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence American Public's stock price.
47.27
Real Value
49.19
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of American Public Education helps investors to forecast how American stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of American Public more accurately as focusing exclusively on American Public's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.680.680.68
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.2344.1546.07
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.2545.3350.32
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for American Public Education, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

American Public Cash

118.88 Million

American Revenue by Product

American Public Total Value Analysis

American Public Education is presently forecasted to have valuation of 781.31 M with market capitalization of 801.17 M, debt of 200.62 M, and cash on hands of 157.72 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the American Public fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
781.31 M
801.17 M
200.62 M
157.72 M

American Public Investor Information

About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of American Public was presently reported as 15.45. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.32. American Public Education had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from American Public's historical financial statements, American Public Education may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities42.9 M56.2 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable

American Public Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. American Public has an asset utilization ratio of 109.55 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $1.1 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that American Public Education is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

American Public Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from American Public's financial statements, American Public's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess American Public's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2005-03-31
Previous Quarter
4.5 M
Current Value
5.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
14.7 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of now, American Public's Gross Profit is increasing as compared to previous years. The American Public's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.65, while Pretax Profit Margin is projected to decrease to 0.05.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.650.61
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For American Public profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of American Public Education to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well American Public utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between American Public's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of American Public over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

American Public Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of American Public is estimated to be 0.6825 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.6825 to a high of 0.6825. American Public's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.31. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for American Public Education is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
American Public is projected to generate 0.6825 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. American Public earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected American Public EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on American Public's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as American Public, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

American Public Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of American Public's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of American Public is estimated to be 0.6825 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.6825 to a high of 0.6825. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for American Public Education is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.68
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.6825
0.68
Highest

American Public Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of American Public's value are higher than the current market price of the American Public stock. In this case, investors may conclude that American Public is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and American Public's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
740.22%
0.0
0.6825
1.31

American Public Ownership Allocation

The majority of American Public Education outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in American Public Education to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in American Public. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of American Public Education as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

American Public Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 624.56 M. Net Income was 16.11 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 354.92 M.

About American Public Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to American Stock, attempts to find the value of American Public Education based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing American Public's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Public's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of American Public. We calculate exposure to American Public's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of American Public's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit378.2 M397.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.61  0.65 

American Public Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y6.5
Forward Price Earnings19.8413

American Public Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of American Public Education and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value American we look at many different elements of the entity such as American's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as American Public, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use American Public's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes American Public's worth.

Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis

When running American Public's price analysis, check to measure American Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Public is operating at the current time. Most of American Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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